Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.005601 0.006397 0.007316 0.008465 0.009883 0.011596 0.013858
2025-11-30 0.004452 0.005413 0.006629 0.008317 0.010667 0.013936 0.019048
2025-12-07 0.003750 0.004739 0.006063 0.008033 0.011019 0.015628 0.023881
2025-12-14 0.003318 0.004319 0.005720 0.007923 0.011510 0.017580 0.029944
2025-12-21 0.003091 0.004136 0.005662 0.008194 0.012624 0.020886 0.040363
2025-12-28 0.002940 0.004035 0.005698 0.008602 0.014057 0.025320 0.056625
2026-01-04 0.002755 0.003856 0.005580 0.008718 0.014973 0.029083 0.074929
2026-01-11 0.002562 0.003641 0.005373 0.008633 0.015460 0.032084 0.094603
2026-01-18 0.002414 0.003482 0.005238 0.008653 0.016167 0.036002 0.124085
2026-01-25 0.002248 0.003278 0.004999 0.008433 0.016279 0.038351 0.151319
2026-02-01 0.002074 0.003046 0.004691 0.008028 0.015859 0.038927 0.170642
2026-02-08 0.001930 0.002855 0.004439 0.007704 0.015573 0.039855 0.195774
2026-02-15 0.001849 0.002773 0.004390 0.007833 0.016577 0.046271 0.294990
2026-02-22 0.001742 0.002637 0.004229 0.007702 0.016875 0.050458 0.406731
2026-03-01 0.001630 0.002486 0.004027 0.007447 0.016757 0.052932 0.525869
2026-03-08 0.001548 0.002381 0.003901 0.007348 0.017079 0.057807 0.773332
2026-03-15 0.001510 0.002352 0.003920 0.007592 0.018552 0.070254 1.705634
2026-03-22 0.001487 0.002346 0.003985 0.007958 0.020595 0.089542 6.261840
2026-03-29 0.001440 0.002294 0.003948 0.008063 0.021781 0.105768 31.232643
2026-04-05 0.001381 0.002215 0.003848 0.007987 0.022273 0.117914 396.107981
2026-04-12 0.001334 0.002156 0.003786 0.008004 0.023158 0.136220 NaN
2026-04-19 0.001274 0.002067 0.003653 0.007807 0.023091 0.145084 NaN
2026-04-26 0.001204 0.001958 0.003469 0.007443 0.022204 0.143218 NaN